Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 71.126453 80.111630 89.332756 99.472063 110.277125 121.418286 133.745142
2025-02-16 56.700409 69.471145 83.204956 98.944048 116.358976 134.924841 156.101703
2025-02-23 48.685611 63.578093 80.154940 99.710918 121.901666 146.074007 174.174603
2025-03-02 42.091129 58.341943 77.008702 99.597817 125.785228 154.823001 189.100705
2025-03-09 37.211343 54.504588 74.942896 100.232612 130.089493 163.688652 203.848500
2025-03-16 32.254768 50.047994 71.698866 99.085458 131.990132 169.538609 214.940939
2025-03-23 29.298436 47.800596 70.880604 100.611703 136.843320 178.647760 229.655196
2025-03-30 26.872060 45.999170 70.422366 102.412312 141.895175 187.897401 244.470677
2025-04-06 23.714336 42.924455 68.115118 101.725522 143.785171 193.303836 254.711145
2025-04-13 20.302442 39.178855 64.681734 99.399278 143.487416 195.964614 261.603792
2025-04-20 19.369168 38.906997 65.791617 102.832769 150.279548 207.113457 278.554531
2025-04-27 18.070611 37.972546 65.919161 104.928622 155.360003 216.175507 293.019706
2025-05-04 15.788106 35.363205 63.635140 103.800522 156.367563 220.319515 301.675356
2025-05-11 13.764763 32.962605 61.498282 102.753580 157.395883 224.437336 310.273737
2025-05-18 12.489313 31.655445 60.831802 103.613525 160.817571 231.469521 322.382339
2025-05-25 11.077840 29.967863 59.503683 103.486558 162.899868 236.800702 332.397826
2025-06-01 9.995364 28.742828 58.782964 104.137870 165.956457 243.322942 343.860626
2025-06-08 8.602151 26.779913 56.824781 102.963608 166.537629 246.689033 351.412173
2025-06-15 7.927246 26.111934 56.821616 104.525598 170.733324 254.611293 364.593255
2025-06-22 7.363782 25.602431 57.030572 106.368053 175.294201 262.999041 378.365670
2025-06-29 6.370798 24.076202 55.525028 105.665335 176.382872 266.934424 386.588389
2025-07-06 5.202452 21.972529 52.944402 103.284820 175.115146 267.792632 390.925173
2025-07-13 5.083596 22.248444 54.336747 106.798240 181.916932 279.056559 408.326092